Numerical Approximation for the Solution of COVID-19 Pandemic Model

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2021

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Library Information Services, COMSATS University Islamabad, Lahore Campus

Abstract

Many mathematical models give different strategy for controlling specific diseases. The method of constructing a mathematical model is known as mathematical modelling. Fin- ishing the global disease lacks the use of different measures, such as civil separation, inter- action, and screening. we construct various models to predict the progression of COVID- 19 infection using data from Tunisia and Wuhan in fractional order ν. This epidemiologic analysis model suggests how we may predict the spread of COVID-19 by applying the basic reproduction number R0. The susceptibility of threshold number R0 regarding the frame- work of the epidemic model. R0 can be calculated from different approximative methods in COVID-19 epidemic models. The global elements of equilibria, positivity, boundedness, and stability analysis are all given particular attention. For stability if R0 < 1, an infected person transfer the disease individually in new infected is less than one on average over the lifetime of its infectious time, and the infection cannot spread, while R0 > 1 then disease transfer from each infected person to more than one new infection on average and system will unstable. Using Adams-Bashforth-Moulton method, we get numerical result of the proposed model. In graphical work, we compare actual results with approximate solutions.

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Department of Mathematics, FA19, Mathematics, COVID-19 Model, Numerical Approximation, Epidemiological Model, Dr. Sadia Arshad

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